Section I, Critical Reasoning
Questions 6 - 10
Diagram 1 -
 This graph shows -
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The actual number of fatal accidents
for 1978 to 1993. |
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The number of fatal accidents that
would have occured between 1994 and 2002 had the 1978–1993
downward trend continued. [ABD PREDICTED] |
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The number of deaths that have occurred
in excess of this trend. |
Below are some sentences. Determine which are true according
to the data in the graph, and then answer the question
which follows.
1. During the period ’78-’93 inclusive, the
number of fatalities from vehicle accidents in the UK dropped
year to year six more times than it rose year to year.
2. If there is any period where the increase in vehicle
use in the UK was negligable (between ’78 and ’02),
there were certainly no years during that time when the
number of fatalities from vehicle accidents were greater
in a given year than in the previous year.
3. In no year between ’93 and ’02 has there
been a drop in number of fatalities per year as great as
there was between ’92 and ’93.
Question 6
Which of these statements are true according to Diagram
1?
A Statements 1 and 3.
B Statements 2 and 3.
C Statement 2.
D None of the above.
Question 7
Which is false according to Diagram 1?
A Fatalities per vehicle km have been
decreasing steadily.
B There was a jump in vehicle usage around
1989.
C Actual fatalities reached a plateau
about 10 years after a temporary plateau in vehicle usage.
D Trend as illustrated by ABD is unrealistic
since it implies a reduction to zero of fatalities in under
30 years.
Question 8
Identify the years where there were the largest rise in fatalities
(1), the largest drop in fatalities (2), the two years when
the fatality numbers dropped for the third year running before
1993 (3 and 4), and the smallest rise in fatalities from
one year to the next within the 80s (5). Which of the following
orders events 1-5 in correct chronological sequence?
NB - assume a “year” when a rate of fatality
has dropped or fallen counts as both the year before and
after this drop, so a drop from ‘91-‘92 would
be considered as chronologically occuring in ‘91 AND ‘92
(so that an event occuring only in ‘91 would be
considered to happen first).
A 3, 5, 1, 2, 4.
B 5, 1, 4, 2, 3.
C 4, 2, 5, 1, 3.
D None of the above.
Question 9
Calculate the number of exceptions to the following “rules”.
NB Don’t include the first or last years, and consider ’84
to be the last year.
1. Every even numbered year had less fatalities than the
previous year.
2. Every odd numbered year had less fatalities than the
previous year.
3. Every even numbered year had less fatalities than the
following year.
4. Every odd numbered year had more fatalities than the
following year.
If you sum the numbers of exceptions in “rules” 2
and 3, and if you then minus the number of exceptions to “rule” 1
from the number of exceptions to “rule” 4,
you arrive at two numbers. Multiply these numbers, and
what result do you get (i.e. [“exceptions to 2” + “exceptions
to 3”] / [“exceptions to 4” - “exceptions
to 1”] ) ?
A 7.
B 6.
C 42.
D 0.
Question 10
During the five year period in which the increase in vehicle
km driven per year plateaued in diagram 1…
A … fatalities per year dropped
by more than it had in the last ten years.
B … fatalities dropped more after
the third year in this period than they did up until it.
C … fatalities dropped less after
the third year than they did up until it.
D Both A and C.
Answers
for questions 6-10
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